Monday, Oct. 31, 1932
Entering the Final
MAP
Two weeks before election the political U. S. looked like the map on this page. In choosing the next President Nov. 8, each state has an electoral vote equal to the number of its Representatives and Senators in Congress. The elective majority is 266 such votes. Nationwide presidential polls by The Literary Digest and the 26 Hearstpapers are reliable indices of what is in the political wind. The straw votes are supplemented and largely confirmed by studious political correspondents touring the country, by private business scouts, by astute politicians taking "off the record." TIME's map, no forecast, represents a summary of this mass of opinion. States have been classified as follows: 1) Republican or Democratic where straw polls give the leading candidate two-thirds majority; 2) probably Republican, probably Democratic, where straw polls give the leader a majority of less than two-thirds; 3) doubtful where straw polls are close or contradictory.
On this basis the electoral vote, as of last week, stood:
Strong Hoover lead 32
Slight Hoover lead 61
Strong Roosevelt lead 228
Slight Roosevelt lead 148
Doubtful 62
Total 531
To win President Hoover had to add to his leads all the doubtful states and take in votes from Governor Roosevelt in other states.
Many an observer believes that the election will be decided in the Midwest, from the Pennsylvania line to the Missouri River.
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