EISENHOWER LEADS STEVENSON

Many States Are Close, But They Add Up to lke

This is how TIME correspondents last week rated the 48 states: Solid for Stevenson: The South is shrinking as a Democratic realm, but Adlai can depend on Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Louisiana, Mississippi, North Carolina and despite an independent ticket favoring Virginia's Senator Harry Byrd, South Carolina. 71

Solid for Eisenhower: Ike and G.O.P. Senate candidates can count on the Republican strongholds of Maine (although Democrats won in the September state elections), New Hampshire, Vermont, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota and South Dakota. 34

Arizona: Eisenhower won by 43,514 (58.3%) in 1952, is still ahead. 4

California: Democratic organization has improved since 1952, but Ike is still popular enough to win. Republican Senator Thomas Kuchel is hard pressed by Democrat Richard Richards, but ahead. 32

Colorado: Even retiring Democratic Governor Ed Johnson flatly predicts Eisenhower. Ex-Governor Dan Thornton leads Democrat John Carroll for the Senate. 6

Connecticut: Ike stands to win by plurality com parable to 129,363 of 1952. If he does, G.O.P. Senator Prescott Bush should be safe against an effective challenger, Democratic Congressman Thomas Dodd. 8

Delaware: Ike is favored, with Democrats wor ried about an urban Negro shift to Republicans. 3

Florida: Democratic state leaders are glum ; well-organized Republicans, hopeful. Based on his strength in populous west and south Florida, Ike has the edge. 10

Idaho: Eisenhower easily. Old Guard Senator Herman Welker is challenged by Democrat Frank Church -- but Church is hurt, and is likely to be beaten, by write-in competition from left-wing Democrat Glen Taylor, beaten in the primary but still a threat to some 5,000 Church votes. 4

Illinois: Ike handily. G.O.P. Governor William Stratton, still plagued by Republican state scandals, needs help against Democrat Richard Austin. Republican Senator Everett Dirksen is in a hard race, but favored over Democrat Richard Stengel. 27

Indiana: Solidly for Ike. Republican Senator Homer Capehart leads Democrat Claude Wickard. 13

Iowa: Eisenhower and G.O.P. Senator Bourke Hickenlooper are ahead. Local Republican organiza tions are beginning to work harder for Republican Governor Leo Hoegh (TIME, Oct. 22) in his neck-and-neck race against Democrat Herschel Loveless. 10

Kentucky: With Governor "Happy" Chandler lending only token support to Democrats, Ike and G.O.P. Senate Candidate John Sherman Cooper have slim leads. In the second Senate race, Republican Thruston Morton trails Incumbent Earle Clements. 10

Maryland: Leaders of both parties guess Ike by upwards of 50,000. Republican Senator John Mar shall Butler has a shaky lead over Democrat George Mahoney, who is afflicted by party factionalism. 9 Massachusetts: Stevenson figures to better 1952 margin (78,810) in Suffolk County (Boston), but Ike leads statewide. 16

Michigan: Even Democratic State Chairman Neil Staebler admits Ike is ahead by 25,000; other esti mates range up to 200,000. Democratic Governor G. Mennen Williams seems safely ahead for re-election against Detroit's Mayor Albert Cobo. 20

Minnesota: Ike is surprisingly strong in the cities, relatively weak on the farms. But as evidenced during his triumphal Twin Cities appearance last fort night, Ike is the probable winner. 11

A Missouri: Republicans are split factionally; Stevenson stands to win along with a strong state ticket. 13

Montana: Ike by a reduced (from 51,181 in 1952) but comfortable margin. 4 Nevada: Odds are on Ike (gambling Nevada dislikes Gambling-Investigator Estes Kefauver). Republican Clifton Young is losing out in race against Democratic Senator Alan Bible. 3

New Jersey: All signs point to Ike -- Ike-big. 16

New Mexico: Eisenhower leads, despite enthusiastic Stevenson enclaves of atomic scientist. 4

New York: Ike is clearly ahead. Republicans are favored to pick up a Senate seat with victory of Republican Jacob Javits over New York's Mayor Robert Wagner. 45

Ohio: Stevenson was encouraged by campaign receptions, but Eisenhower Is the favorite. So is Democratic Governor Frank Lausche in close Senate race against Republican Incumbent George Bender.

Oklahoma: The drought hurts Ike. Adlai is the probable winner. 8

Oregon: Ike leads, but must make a strong show ing if Republican Douglas McKay is to oust Democratic Incumbent Wayne Morse from Senate.

Pennsylvania: An outside chance that Eisenhower's coattails might be enough for G.O.P. Senator James Duff to win the Senate race by defeating Phila delphia's former Democratic Mayor Joseph Clark, who is now leading. Another outside chance that Clark's coattails might be enough for Adlai. 32

Rhode Island: Close, with an apparent edge to Eisenhower. 4

Tennessee: Democrats are favored, but Republicans are not conceding, in Kefauver's home state. Still to come: an Eisenhower visit to Memphis. 11

Texas: Stevenson leads, but Democrats are angrily split among liberals, moderates and conservatives. Thanks to Vice President Nixon's groundwork, Texas-born Ike has come from far behind, now rates a strong chance. 24

Utah: Ike easily, G.O.P. Senator Wallace Bennett somewhat less easily.

Virginia: The States' Rights ticket, headed by former Internal Revenue Commissioner Coleman Andrews, will not win but may hold the balance of power in a toss-up state. Last week's estimate: Adlai ahead. 12

Washington: Stevenson Leader Goodwin Chase, who previously predicted Adlai by 25,000, now says, "I must confess that if the election were to be held tomorrow, Stevenson would lose it here." Democratic Incumbent Warren Magnuson leads Republican Governor Arthur Langlie for the Senate. 9

West Virginia: Adlai leads by margin that may be surprisingly narrow. Republican Candidate Chapman Revercomb has strong sleeper chance against Democratic Governor William Marland for the Senate. 8 Wisconsin: Ike should win. So should Republican Senator Alexander Wiley. 12

Wyoming: Ike leads. Main G.O.P. concern is complacency in a politically apathetic state. 3

TOTAL (266 needed to win). IKE: 384. ADLAI: 147.

This file is automatically generated by a robot program, so reader's discretion is required.