Monday, Oct. 18, 1976

Who's Ahead State by State

FORD TOTAL-113

CARTER TOTAL-273

UNDECIDED TOTAL-152

Many of the state races described in the foregoing pages will be affected by the national outcome, and some local candidates may help or hurt the presidential contenders. TIME correspondents last week made a state-by-state analysis of who is ahead in the presidential race.

THE EAST: Jimmy Carter holds a comfortable lead in Massachusetts, Maryland, Rhode Island and the District of Columbia, but has only a narrow margin in New York, New Jersey and Pennsylvania. Ford has a long lead in two states, New Hampshire and Vermont.

THE SOUTH: Jimmy Carter still is ahead in nine states, though his lead has been diminishing. Ford has taken a narrow lead in Louisiana, and is ahead by a whisker in Virginia.

THE MIDWEST: Carter is out front in Minnesota, Kentucky, Oklahoma and West Virginia. He barely holds Missouri. Ford has respectable margins in North Dakota, Nebraska and Indiana. He is well ahead back home in Michigan, and hangs on--but just by his fingertips--in Iowa and Bob Dole's Kansas. South Dakota is seen as a tossup. So are the region's three richest electoral prizes: Illinois, Ohio and Wisconsin.

THE WEST: Carter leads only in Hawaii. Colorado, New Mexico, Washington and even Oregon are too close to call. So is California, the biggest prize of all.

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